北大经院工作坊第593场
Resource Rents, Urbanization and Structural Transformation
(资源租金、城市化与结构转型)
“经院-全健院”
健康与劳动经济学工作坊
主讲人:黄青 (普林斯顿大学博士后)
主持老师:(北大国发院)赵波
参与老师:
(北大国发院)赵波、余昌华、李明浩
(北大经院)陈仪、韩晗、李伦
时间:2023年3月13日(周一)
形式:ZOOM会议
会议号:886 9873 1674
密码:806663
主讲人简介:
黄青是普林斯顿大学的博士后研究员。2021年于北京大学国家发展研究院获得博士学位。研究方向为发展经济学、国际贸易和城市经济学。
摘要:
We study the role of resource rents in explaining the distinct urbanization and structural transformation patterns, observed in many developing countries in the last few decades. We present a simple model where the effect of resource rents on urbanization and structural transformation depends on income redistribution between rural and urban areas. Combining several spatially granular data sets by geography, including global property-level mining data, global high-resolution population data layer, and the population census microdata, we empirically test the question at the city level on a global scale and estimate the causal effect of mineral price shocks of nearby mines on city outcomes. We find that on a global average, mining booms result in an increase in the urban population, and the reallocation of labor from agriculture to low-skilled services. The effects are mainly driven by African cities, consistent with the phenomenon of “Urbanization without Industrialization” in these countries. We explore several potential mechanisms. The evidence suggests that low opportunity cost due to low agricultural productivity in African countries incentivizes rural farmers to migrate in response to income shock instantiated by mining booms.
北大经院工作坊第594场
Cosmopolitan Collaboration and Wartime Collaborationism: The Chinese Maritime Customs Service and Its Staff, 1932-1941
经济史工作坊
主讲人:张志云 (Professor of International Trade History, Department of History, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, also Senior Research Fellow of Bristol University and Project Professor of Tokyo University)
主持老师:(北大经院)赵一泠、Mark Hup
参与老师:
(北大经院)郝煜、管汉晖、周建波
(北大光华)颜色
(北大国发院)席天扬、于航
时间:2023年3月14日(周二)16:00-17:30
地点:永利集团3044am官方入口305会议室
主讲人简介:
Chihyun Chang, Professor of International Trade History, Department of History, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, also Senior Research Fellow of Bristol University and Project Professor of Tokyo University, studies empires’ trade, diplomacy and finance in east Asia during the 19th and 20th centuries. His 3rd monograph project investigates Republican China's financial and monetary consolidation whilst performing China's financial obligations to foreign powers. In addition, he is also applying spatio-temporal GISystem to historical personnel studies, such as the B & C class war criminals and the maneuver of Chinese Customs' employees throughout China.
He teaches “The Introduction for Sinology & Chinese Studies” and “The History for Modern China’s Foreign Relations”. He is the author of Government, Imperialism and Nationalism in China (2013) and The Chinese Journals of Lester Knox Little: The Eyewitness of China's Revolutions and Wars (2017).
摘要:
This article discusses the interconnectedness between the cosmopolitan collaboration and wartime collaborationism from 1932-1941 by exploring the Chinese Maritime Customs Service (CMCS) and its international staff. The CMCS managed to maneuver among Manchukuo, northern China, Occupied China and the Nationalist government before 1940 to fulfill their duties, and then between the Collaborationist government under Wang Jingwei and the Resistance government under Chiang Kai-shek. This article argues that both Chinese and Japanese staff members, as well as their British administrator, Frederick Maze, were wartime “collaborators” from the perspectives of Japan, Manchukuo, the Collaborationist and Chongqing governments; but all ak of Pacific Wart the three parties all tolerated administrator, Frederick Maze, d of a diplomat. parties tolerated the ambiguous attitude and activities of the CMCS until the outbreak of the Pacific War. The reason behind was that all parties benefited from such activities that had long existed before the outbreak of the War of Resistance, which created an interconnectedness among all parties that could not be dissolved by a sudden outbreak of war. This article situates wartime collaborationism in the long-existing institutions and networks that were welcomed as cosmopolitan collaboration in both prewar and postwar periods, rather than treat it as a unique wartime setup and ideology. Such a view and approach also help illuminate postwar exchange of personnel and cooperation among former enemies, which, to a significant extent, grew out of wartime collaborationism.
北大经院工作坊第595场
The long-term effects of income for at-risk infants: Evidence from supplemental security income
“经院-全健院”
健康与劳动经济学工作坊
主讲人:Sarah Miller(University of Michigan, Ross School of Business, Associate Professor)
主持老师:潘聿航(北京大学全球健康发展研究院助理教授)
参与老师:
(北大经院)秦雪征、石菊、姚奕、王耀璟、Kevin Devereux、梁远宁、庄晨
(北大全健院)刘国恩、孙宇、潘聿航、吕蓓妮、林昊翔
时间:2023年3月15日(周三)10:00-11:30
形式:ZOOM会议
会议号:862 1292 0549
密码:202012
主讲人简介:
Sarah Miller is an associate professor at the Ross School of Business at the University of Michigan. She received a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign in 2012. Dr. Miller's research interests are in health economics and, in particular, the short-term and long-term effects of public policies that expand health insurance coverage. She is also a co-editor for the Journal of Public Economics. Her work has been published in the American Economic Review, the Quarterly Journal of Economics, the New England Journal of Medicine, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, the Journal of Public Economics, and the Review of Economics and Statistics, among other journals, and has been cited in outlets such as the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, and the Economic Report of the President. In 2022, Dr. Miller was awarded the ASHEcon Medal, awarded by the American Society of Health Economists to an economist age 40 or under who has made the most significant contributions to the field of health economics.
摘要:
Previous research suggests that early life health and resources have long-term implications for a child's health and human capital outcomes. This paper examines whether a generous cash intervention early in life can "undo" some of the long-term disadvantage associated with poor health at birth. To conduct this analysis, we take advantage of new linkages between several large-scale administrative datasets to examine the short-, medium-, and long-term effects of providing low-income families with low birthweight infants support through the Supplemental Security Income (SSI) program. We examine a birthweight cutoff used to determine SSI eligibility at 1200 grams, and find that families of infants born just below this eligibility cutoff experience a large increase in cash benefits totaling about 19% of family income in the first three years of the infant's life. These cash benefits persist at lower amounts through age 10 for infants whose birthweight falls right below the cutoff. Eligible infants also experience a small but statistically significant increase in Medicaid enrollment during childhood. We examine whether this support affects health care use and mortality in infancy, educational performance in childhood, and adult human capital, earnings, public assistance use, and mortality using data in young adulthood for all infants born in California to low-income families whose birthweight puts them near the cutoff. Despite the comprehensive nature of this early life intervention, we detect no improvements in any of these outcomes, nor do we find improvements among the siblings of these infants who may have also benefited from the increase in family resources. These null effects persist across several subgroups and alternative model specifications.
北大经院工作坊第596场
High Temperature, Climate Change and Mortgage Performance
发展与公共财政工作坊
主讲人:Congyan Han(威斯康星大学麦迪逊分校)
参与老师:
(北大经院)刘冲、吴群锋、曹光宇
(北大国发院)李力行、席天扬、徐化愚、于航、王轩、易君健
时间:2023年3月15日(周三)11:30-13:00
地点:北京大学国家发展研究院承泽园245教室
主讲人简介:
Congyan Han is a Phd student from the Department of Real Estate and Urban Land Economics, at the Wisconsin School of Business, University of Wisconsin - Madison. She holds an M.S. in Applied Economics and Management from Cornell University, and a B.S. in Environmental Science and a B.E. in Economics from Peking University. Her research interests include housing and urban economics, real estate finance and sustainable development.
摘要:
We investigate the relationship between extreme temperature and residential mortgage default and prepayment outcomes using fine-scale weather and comprehensive loan performance data. We identify a significant high temperature-mortgage termination relation. Counties that are at high risk of sea-level rise display significantly higher rates of permanent default and prepayment in response to doses of high-temperature. Relocation test shows a higher out-migration rate for the prepaying homeowners who are treated with high-temperature. Altogether the evidence favors adaptive response to high-temperature that magnifies concern over climate change. We also provide evidence of homeowner overreaction and impulsive responses that result in temporary default. Our findings have direct monetary and bank regulatory policy implications.
北京大学金融工程实验室
“对话投资总监”系列讲座
2023年第二讲:做市交易策略及实践
主讲人:蔡成苗(中信证券,董事总经理)
主持老师:(北大经院)黎新平
时间:2023年3月15日(周三)19:00-21:30
地点:永利集团3044am官方入口219会议室
主要内容:
全面介绍国内做市业务,包括期权、期货、ETF及科创板股票等,以期权等具体品种做市交易为例探讨其策略原理、模型及业务实践。
主讲人简介:
蔡成苗,CFA,中信证券董事总经理,拥有20年金融衍生品从业经验。2015年加入中信证券股份有限公司,负责场内做市业务, 做市品种涵盖期权、期货、ETF和科创板股票。曾任职于伦敦的Liquid Capital、Citi、IMC等多家海外机构。
北京大学金融工程实验室
“金工首席谈量化”专题讲座
第16讲:从量化投资到投资的量化
主讲人:林晓明(华泰证券,首席金融工程分析师)
主持老师:(北大经院)黎新平
时间:2023年3月16日(周四)19:00-21:30
地点:永利集团3044am官方入口219会议室
主要内容:
全面介绍量化投资在国内的发展历史及趋势,对于量化在更加广泛的投资领域,比如量价数据选股、经济周期和资产配置、板块和行业轮动方面的应用展开讨论。
主讲人简介:
林晓明,华泰证券首席金融工程分析师。15年量化卖方研究经验,覆盖的研究领域主要分为量化选股及量化配置两块:量化选股研究,包括多因子模型、量化基本面选股、人工智能选股;量化配置研究,包括资产配置、行业轮动、量化择时,及Smart Beta等指数产品研究。
供稿:科研与博士后办公室、金融学系
美编:兮哲、初夏
责编:度量、雨禾、雨田