《行业研究前沿》课程系列
2022年第1期
如何从长短周期视角观测中国经济增长
主讲人：郭磊（广发证券首席经济学家、董事总经理）
时间：2022年9月20日（周二）18：40-20：30
形式：腾讯会议
主讲人简介：
郭磊，广发证券首席经济学家、董事总经理；永利集团3044am官方入口金融学硕士校外导师；2017-2021年连续五年新财富宏观分析师第一名、水晶球宏观分析师第一名、中国证券分析师金牛奖最具价值金牛分析师；新财富、水晶球、金牛、IAMAC、第一财经、新浪金麒麟、上证报、21世纪八大评奖“大满贯”。
主持人：锁凌燕（永利集团3044am官方入口教授）
主办单位：
永利集团3044am官方入口
北京大学中国保险与社会保障研究中心
北京大学中国金融研究中心
北大经院工作坊第513场
Healthcare Utilisation of the Outsiders: Evidence from the Off-site Inpatient Claim Reform in China
“经院-全健院”
健康与劳动经济学工作坊
主讲人：石雪竹（对外经济贸易大学助理教授）
主持老师：（北大经院）秦雪征
参与老师：
（北大经院）秦雪征、石菊、姚奕、王耀璟、袁野、Kevin Devereux、梁远宁、庄晨
（北大全健院）刘国恩、孙宇、潘聿航、吕蓓妮、林淑君、杨佳楠
时间：2022年9月21日（星期三）10：00-11：30
地点：永利集团3044am官方入口606会议室
主讲人简介：
Xuezhu Shi is an Assistant Professor of Economics at the University of International Business and Economics. She obtained her PhD in economics at the London School of Economics. Her research and teaching interests include Development, Health and Labour Economics, with a focus on China. Her recent works are mainly on social insurance in China.
摘要：
People were usually challenged to claim reimbursement or later reimbursements for medical expenses incurred outside of their current Chinese residence. This is due to the restrictions imposed by location-based public insurance schemes, which may impede migration. The paper investigates whether allowing people to have direct settlement for medical costs when they cannot utilise their hometown insurance can increase medical care utilisation. A reform in 2017 allowed patients to have direct settlements for the offsite inpatient care costs in most places in China. We apply the event-study approach to a new administrative dataset collected from a hospital in Eastern China. This paper is one of the first papers to use econometric methods to assess the effects of the reform. The results show that the reform increases the numbers of these offsite inpatients who visit the hospital. However, the reform induces certain moral hazard behaviours. The offsite patients are more likely to consume than regular patients, but their out-of-pocket expenditures remain relatively unchanged after the reform. Both the effects on the number of visits and out-of-pocket expenditures are not substantial. The reform also unexpectedly decreases the number of surgical procedures performed on the offsite patients. The robust results indicate that the 2017 reform on the direct settlements for offsite inpatient care costs might affect offsite inpatient care usage as planned, but the effects are limited.
北大经院工作坊第514场
Agricultural Endowment and Structural Transformation (joint with Justin Yifu Lin and Haochen Zhang)
（农业禀赋和结构转型，与林毅夫、张皓辰合作）
发展与公共财政工作坊
主讲人：尤炜（北京大学新结构经济学研究院助理教授）
主持老师：（北大经院）刘冲
时间：2022年9月21日（周三）11：30-13：00
地点：北京大学国家发展研究院承泽园249教室
线上：腾讯会议
会议号：845-9894-4759
主讲人简介：
尤炜，北京大学新结构经济学研究院助理教授。他于2017年获得加州大学圣地亚哥分校经济学博士学位，并在2017-2020年担任了纽约大学Furman Center for Real Estate and Urban Policy研究员。他的研究兴趣包括城市经济学、发展经济学、国际贸易和经济史。研究成果发表在American Economic Journal: Applied Economics、Journal of Labor Economics、Journal of Housing Economics、Remote Sensing等顶尖期刊上。
摘要：
This paper shows that higher agricultural endowment per capita could impede structural transformation out of agriculture in the presence of "labor pull" forces in the non-agricultural sector. We first show that arable land area per capita is inversely related to structural transformation out of agriculture at the sub-national level using a sample of 34 countries. Then focusing on China and exploiting the trade liberalization shock in the 1990s and 2000s as an exogenous "labor pull" force in the non-agricultural sector, we show that Chinese prefectures with more abundant agricultural endowment experienced slower growth in employment shares in the non-agricultural and manufacturing sectors during 1990-2010. We provide causal empirical evidence based on the prefecture-, firm-, and individual-level data. The mechanism is consistent with rich agricultural endowment raising the opportunity costs of labor reallocation from agriculture to non-agriculture. This result contrasts with existing literature that emphasizes the growth of agricultural productivity as a driver of structural transformation.
注：
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供稿：永利集团3044am官方入口科研与博士后办公室
美编：初夏
责编：量子、禾雨、予天
